Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 959.127700 1095.784540 1251.904789 1444.970505 1679.409481 1957.592629 2316.790328
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 776.914555 951.728250 1171.424893 1473.591545 1887.897056 2450.994550 3302.009842
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 690.870062 883.386385 1140.248202 1518.978582 2083.331292 2929.446270 4373.307588
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 619.377729 818.627892 1097.236030 1531.754110 2225.854820 3359.297542 5521.761027
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 555.927742 753.789514 1040.777931 1508.923900 2300.765327 3691.468564 6623.223360
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 517.222743 718.457668 1020.726777 1535.859166 2458.451696 4205.355679 8308.356153
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 468.539031 662.179386 960.474843 1485.441772 2466.896627 4436.542933 9485.022605
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 429.734427 616.821837 911.664527 1446.055499 2485.947422 4692.224207 10860.502503
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 395.618801 575.484346 864.599300 1402.325710 2486.786419 4907.568443 12257.308660
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 384.734484 570.082293 876.319876 1467.075631 2721.434127 5740.306157 16157.355062
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 370.618955 557.897566 874.740004 1505.781428 2908.738275 6527.797937 20676.372701
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 355.725070 542.995188 866.569766 1529.851584 3068.204474 7306.097535 26080.550358
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 333.386674 514.842271 833.955609 1504.271833 3116.744927 7825.376015 31273.965869
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 319.703300 500.805352 826.322429 1531.315886 3307.952011 8908.181184 41743.569317
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 309.930340 492.655805 828.578240 1579.790490 3569.519320 10396.124371 59082.295467
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 297.060306 477.797130 816.188427 1593.090472 3738.478665 11660.314731 79611.180292
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 281.510470 456.813527 789.588300 1569.081011 3792.344484 12497.389351 100011.518189
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 272.461409 447.235374 785.021468 1597.440967 4017.108766 14289.508841 145396.188014
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 256.586079 423.668137 749.595458 1544.351684 3966.141955 14709.008155 172506.939602
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 243.034122 403.723473 720.180221 1502.897327 3945.632744 15300.239977 210934.534629
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 230.127941 384.281136 690.376639 1456.893626 3899.779745 15740.854354 253397.729777
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 227.622833 384.858355 703.305607 1525.018762 4282.540370 19149.904189 481569.570052
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 222.957756 380.839296 705.850928 1565.766055 4581.365785 22457.503226 911703.626437